双循环促进高质量充分就业的政策绩效及路径分析
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An Analysis of the Policy Performance and Pathways for Promoting High-Quality and Full Employment through Dual Circulation
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    摘要:

    双循环体系仍存在堵点,如何从政策上支持加快构建双循环新发展格局以推动经济增长和促进 高质量充分就业,是适应我国新发展阶段的主要战略抉择。本研究基于超效率 SBM 和 Malmquist 模型对 2012— 2020 年双循环促进高质量充分就业的政策绩效进行静态和动态评价,并利用动态 QCA 方法探究提高政策产出的 路径。研究结果表明:考察期间政策绩效的全国均值距离有效前沿还有一定差距;地区政策绩效呈现东中西梯 度分布特征,各省存在不同程度的投入冗余和产出不足等政策资源利用效率不高的问题;从动态来看,全国多 数地区的政策全要素生产率呈波动下降趋势,政策作用后劲不足,各省在政策资源的管理效率和改革创新等方 面还有待改进。研究建议:应着力推动政策向效率型、持续型和创新型转变;重视需求和分配政策的建设,因 地制宜优化政策路径以提高政策产出。

    Abstract:

    There are still impediments in the dual-cycle system. Supporting the construction of the new development paradigm featuring dual circulation to promote economic growth and high-quality full employment by policy measure is an active strategic choice to adapt to China's new development stage. This study, using the super-efficiency SBM and Malmquist models, evaluates the policy performance of promoting high-quality and full employment through dual circulation from 2012 to 2020. It also explores the pathway configuration to improve policy employment outcomes using dynamic QCA methods. The research findings show that the national average of policy performance during the study period is still far from the effective frontier. Regionally, there is a clear gradient distribution of performance among the east, central and west regions with significant internal differences. Different provinces are faced with issues such as input redundancy and insufficient output, indicating inefficient utilization of policy resources. From the dynamic perspective, it can be seen that most regions show a fluctuating downward trend in policy total factor productivity, indicating insufficient policy effectiveness and a need for improvement in policy resource management efficiency and policy reform innovation. The research suggests that efforts be made to shift policies towards being efficient, sustainable, and innovative. Moreover, the establishment of demand and distribution policies should also be emphasized, along with the optimization of policy paths based on local conditions to enhance policy output.

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朱金生,潘予忱,朱 华.双循环促进高质量充分就业的政策绩效及路径分析[J].中国劳动关系学院,2024,(3):64-79.

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  • 在线发布日期: 2024-10-11
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